In the 2025 March quarter and into April we saw market turbulence, reacting to the uncertainty and the daily twists and turns of the Trump administration.
Steady as she goes: The following financial market indicators looks at the current position and reflect back on past events and proof of successfully navigated including GFC, Brexit, Covid and now navigating through the Trump era.
|
Date |
ASX200 |
$A/US |
RBA cash rates |
Bonds 5yr |
|
|
|
2025 April 23 |
7770 |
0.640 |
4.10 |
3.570% |
– |
|
|
2025 March 31 |
7843 |
0.625 |
4.10% |
3.606% |
|
|
|
In February RBA cut rates from 4.35% to 4.10% This was first cut since November 2023 following a series of increases over 2 years used to manage inflation. Historically the lowest rates was 0.10% in Nov 2020 and highest at 17.50% in Jan 1990. Interest rates in Australia averaged 3.87% from 1990 until 2025. Consensus of experts expects 3 more rate cuts in 2025. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2024 Dec 31 |
8159.10 |
0.62 |
4.35% |
3.945% |
|
|
|
2024 Sep 30 |
8269.80 |
0.69 |
4.35% |
3.587% |
|
|
|
2024 June 30 |
7767.50 |
0.67 |
4.35% |
4.181% |
|
|
|
2024 Mar 28 |
7,897 |
0.65 |
4.35% |
3.625% |
|
|
|
2023 Dec 31 13th rate rise by RBA since May 2022 (after lowest rate in history of 0.10% set in Nov 2020) |
7,591 |
0.68 |
4.35% |
3.79% |
|
|
|
2023 Sept 30 Short halt to rate rises |
7,025 |
0.64 |
4.10% |
4.13% |
|
|
|
2023 June 30 Rate rises continue |
7,203 |
0.66 |
4.10% |
3.79% |
|
|
|
2023 Mar 31 Rate rises continue |
7,177 |
0.67 |
3.60% |
3.04% |
|
|
|
2022 Dec 31 Rate rises continue |
6,785 |
0.68 |
3.10% |
3.69% |
|
|
|
2022 June 30Rate rises in May& June22: Inflation |
6,568 |
0.69 |
0.85% |
3.32% |
|
|
|
2021 June 30 Rates at low 0.10% set Nov2020 |
7,313 |
0.75 |
0.10% |
0.84% |
|
|
|
2020 June 30 Coronavirus Mar 2020 |
5,904 |
0.69 |
0.25% |
0.39% |
|
|
|
2019 June 30 |
6,194 |
0.70 |
1.25% |
0.86% |
|
|
|
2018 June 30 |
6,194 |
0.74 |
1.50% |
2.27% |
|
|
|
2017 June 30 |
5,737 |
0.74 |
1.50% |
1.99% |
|
|
|
2016 June 30 Brexit announced |
5,237 |
0.74 |
1.75% |
1.64% |
|
|
|
2015 June 30 |
5,459 |
0.77 |
2.00% |
2.29% |
|
|
|
2014 June 30 |
5,395 |
0.94 |
2.50% |
3.12% |
|
|
|
2013 June 30 |
4,802 |
0.91 |
2.75% |
2.96% |
|
|
|
GFC 2009 |
3,145 |
0.64 |
3.25% |
3.69% |
|
|
|
Pre GFC 2007 |
6,700 |
0.90 |
6.50% |
6.45% |
|
|
Setting a course, navigating & managing the events that arise across markets, gives us the best chance of achieving a risk adjusted return on your capital, achieve your goals and what is important to you along the way and in the long term.
“Steady as she goes“
Eleonor
